Prospective lifecycle observation · UPDATED 04 SEP 2026
PBZ Lifecycle Research
Can a historically important basket approach retain its edge while controlling persistence-trend drawdowns?
validationCOVERAGE
Controlled multi-market sample
STRATEGY TYPES
Swing · Basket · Multi-horizon
RESEARCH CLASS
Lifecycle research · Basket governance
PUBLICATION LEVEL
summarized
01
Current finding
PBZ has moved from a paused historical question into demo forward testing with a new restart-safe observation and risk layer. The package is research-ready; the economic thesis is still unproven.
02
Evidence on record
- Five native components compiled without errors or warnings, thirteen automated checks passed, and controlled smoke runs covered more than 22,000 generated ticks.
- Lifecycle state restoration, causal logging, demo-only authorization, and concentration safeguards were verified.
- No multi-regime forward dataset exists yet, and no challenger lane has earned live-capital authority.
03
Next falsifiable step
Complete the VPS shadow-and-restart drill, then collect prespecified demo evidence long enough to compare each lane with the unchanged control.